Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Poland most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Poland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and other neurological disease — together 41% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.03% (1 in 3,910); over 10 years it is 0.27%.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,910
Next 10 years
0.27%
1 in 369
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide18%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  2. 02Road accidents16%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  4. 04Accidental poisoning & overdose5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  5. 05Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  6. 06Other cancers4.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu4.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 09Other accidents3.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  10. 10Congenital conditions3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
Show the other 33 causes28% together
  1. 11Heart failure & other heart disease3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  2. 12Other causes2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  3. 13Falls2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 14Stroke2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  5. 15Brain cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  6. 16Other digestive disease2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  7. 17Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 18High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  9. 19Drowning1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  10. 20Other lung disease0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.87%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  12. 22Other mental health conditions0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  13. 23Breast cancer0.71%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  14. 24Pregnancy & childbirth0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  15. 25Diabetes0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  16. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  17. 27Homicide0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  18. 28Kidney disease0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  19. 29Cervical cancer0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  20. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  21. 31Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  22. 32Stomach cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  23. 33Liver cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  24. 34Pancreatic cancer0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  25. 35COVID-190.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  26. 36Lung cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  27. 37COPD & chronic lung disease0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  29. 39Colorectal cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  30. 40Bladder cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  31. 41Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  32. 42Kidney cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  33. 43Drug use disorder0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 800 70 22 22, the 24-hour support line for adults in crisis — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Poland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Poland (2023–2024), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Poland?
Suicide: 18% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Poland, followed by road accidents and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Poland dies in the next year?
0.03% (1 in 3,910). Over the next 10 years it is 0.27% (1 in 369).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Poland expect to live?
On average, to about 82 — around 65 more years, based on Poland's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Poland (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.