Odainn

What are men aged 40–44 in Iceland most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old man in Iceland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 43% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.16% (1 in 609); over 10 years it is 1.9%.

Next 12 months
0.16%
1 in 609
Next 10 years
1.9%
1 in 52
Life expectancy
82
about 40 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide17%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose14%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  4. 04Colorectal cancer6.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease6.1%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  6. 06Stroke3.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  8. 08Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.6%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  9. 09Pancreatic cancer3.5%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  10. 10Leukaemia & lymphoma2.7%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
Show the other 23 causes27% together
  1. 11Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.5%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  2. 12Other cancers2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 13Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  4. 14Other digestive disease1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 15Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Stomach cancer1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  7. 17Other causes1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 18Other accidents1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 19Pneumonia & flu1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  10. 20Road accidents1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  11. 21Falls1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 22Brain cancer1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  13. 23COPD & chronic lung disease1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  14. 24Drug use disorder0.85%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  15. 25Kidney cancer0.83%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  16. 26Other lung disease0.83%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  17. 27Homicide0.83%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  18. 28Lung cancer0.75%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  19. 29Oesophageal cancer0.65%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  20. 30Alcohol use disorder0.65%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  21. 31Congenital conditions0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  23. 33Diabetes0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old man in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old man in Iceland

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 40–44 in Iceland?
Suicide: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old man in Iceland, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old man in Iceland dies in the next year?
0.16% (1 in 609). Over the next 10 years it is 1.9% (1 in 52).
How long can a 42-year-old man in Iceland expect to live?
On average, to about 82 — around 40 more years, based on Iceland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old man in Iceland?
Blood pressure check; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.