Odainn

What are men aged 40–44 in France most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old man in France, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, lung cancer and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 26% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.18% (1 in 568); over 10 years it is 2.6%.

Next 12 months
0.18%
1 in 568
Next 10 years
2.6%
1 in 38
Life expectancy
81
about 39 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide12%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  2. 02Lung cancer7.4%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease6.7%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.7%
  4. 04Other cancers5.1%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  5. 05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)4.9%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  6. 06Other accidents4.5%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.8%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.7%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  9. 09Heart failure & other heart disease3.5%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.9%
  10. 10Alcohol use disorder3.4%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
Show the other 34 causes45% together
  1. 11Stroke3.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  2. 12Colorectal cancer3.0%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  3. 13Other digestive disease2.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  4. 14High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.7%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  5. 15Road accidents2.5%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  6. 16Brain cancer2.3%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer2.2%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 18Other causes2.1%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  9. 19Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  12. 22Other mental health conditions1.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  13. 23Accidental poisoning & overdose1.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  14. 24Stomach cancer1.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  15. 25Diabetes1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  16. 26Liver cancer1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  17. 27Other lung disease1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  18. 28Falls1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  19. 29Drug use disorder1.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  20. 30Oesophageal cancer1.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  21. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.94%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  22. 32Pneumonia & flu0.94%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  23. 33Kidney cancer0.76%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  24. 34Congenital conditions0.68%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.64%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  26. 36Homicide0.56%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  27. 37Drowning0.50%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  28. 38COVID-190.41%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  29. 39Prostate cancer0.40%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  30. 40Kidney disease0.39%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  31. 41Bladder cancer0.39%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  32. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  33. 43Breast cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  34. 44Parkinson's disease0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 3114, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old man in France, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for France (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age
What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old man in France

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 40–44 in France?
Suicide: 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old man in France, followed by lung cancer and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old man in France dies in the next year?
0.18% (1 in 568). Over the next 10 years it is 2.6% (1 in 38).
How long can a 42-year-old man in France expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 39 more years, based on France's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old man in France?
Blood pressure check; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for France (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.