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What are women aged 20–24 in the United States most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old woman in the United States, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are accidental poisoning & overdose, road accidents and suicide — together 48% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.05% (1 in 2,186); over 10 years it is 0.65%.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 2,186
Next 10 years
0.65%
1 in 154
Life expectancy
82
about 60 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose24%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  2. 02Road accidents14%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  3. 03Suicide10%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  4. 04Homicide6.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  5. 05Other causes3.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  7. 07Pregnancy & childbirth2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  9. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  10. 10Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
Show the other 37 causes28% together
  1. 11Other cancers2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  2. 12Diabetes2.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  4. 14Other digestive disease1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  5. 15Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  6. 16Breast cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  7. 17Congenital conditions1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  8. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 19Other accidents1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  10. 20Alcohol use disorder1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  11. 21Stroke1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  12. 22Pneumonia & flu1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  13. 23Other lung disease0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  14. 24Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.8%
  15. 25COPD & chronic lung disease0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  16. 26Brain cancer0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  17. 27Kidney disease0.84%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  18. 28Uterine & ovarian cancer0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  19. 29Colorectal cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  20. 30Drug use disorder0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  21. 31Drowning0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  22. 32Cervical cancer0.48%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  23. 33COVID-190.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  24. 34Falls0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  26. 36Stomach cancer0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  27. 37Liver cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  28. 38Melanoma (skin cancer)0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  29. 39Lung cancer0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  30. 40Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  31. 41Kidney cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  32. 42Pancreatic cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  33. 43Oesophageal cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  34. 44Bladder cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  35. 45Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Parkinson's disease<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  37. 47Dementia & Alzheimer's<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old woman in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old woman in the United States

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 20–24 in the United States?
Accidental poisoning & overdose: 24% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old woman in the United States, followed by road accidents and suicide.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old woman in the United States dies in the next year?
0.05% (1 in 2,186). Over the next 10 years it is 0.65% (1 in 154).
How long can a 22-year-old woman in the United States expect to live?
On average, to about 82 — around 60 more years, based on the United States' current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old woman in the United States?
Cervical screening (Pap test); Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Hepatitis C test; HIV test. Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official CDC mortality statistics for the United States (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.