Odainn

What are women aged 90–94 in Türkiye most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old woman in Türkiye, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, heart failure & other heart disease and pneumonia & flu — together 45% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 18% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 91%.

Next 12 months
18%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
91%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease21%
    19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease13%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Pneumonia & flu11%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease10%
    9.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  5. 05Stroke8.9%
    8.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  6. 06Dementia & Alzheimer's7.3%
    6.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  7. 07Other causes4.3%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  8. 08Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)4.1%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  9. 09COPD & chronic lung disease4.1%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  10. 10Kidney disease3.7%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
Show the other 32 causes12% together
  1. 11Diabetes2.9%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  2. 12Other digestive disease1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  3. 13Other lung disease1.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 14Falls1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  5. 15Other accidents0.70%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  6. 16Other cancers0.55%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  7. 17Breast cancer0.46%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  8. 18Colorectal cancer0.44%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  9. 19COVID-190.40%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  10. 20Lung cancer0.37%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  11. 21Pancreatic cancer0.28%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.28%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  13. 23Stomach cancer0.19%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  14. 24Parkinson's disease0.18%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  15. 25Leukaemia & lymphoma0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  16. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  18. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  19. 29Bladder cancer0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  20. 30Brain cancer0.08%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  22. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  23. 33Other mental health conditions0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  24. 34Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  26. 36Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  27. 37Kidney cancer0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  28. 38Suicide0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  29. 39Congenital conditions0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Cervical cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

About these numbers. Türkiye's figures are for 2023, the year of the February earthquakes. About 50,000 earthquake deaths are counted under “other accidents”, so that cause is far higher than in an ordinary year — above all for young adults.

For people like a 92-year-old woman in Türkiye, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Türkiye (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Türkiye

Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 90–94 in Türkiye?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 21% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old woman in Türkiye, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and pneumonia & flu.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old woman in Türkiye dies in the next year?
18% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 91% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old woman in Türkiye expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on Türkiye's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Türkiye?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Türkiye (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.