Odainn

What are women aged 90–94 in the United States most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old woman in the United States, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 43% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 15% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 92%.

Next 12 months
15%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
92%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's20%
    18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease12%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease11%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease9.4%
    8.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
  5. 05Stroke8.8%
    8.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.5%
    6.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  7. 07Other causes5.3%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  8. 08COPD & chronic lung disease3.4%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  9. 09Falls2.5%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  10. 10Other digestive disease2.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
Show the other 35 causes19% together
  1. 11Other lung disease2.0%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  2. 12Other cancers1.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  3. 13Pneumonia & flu1.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 14Kidney disease1.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 15COVID-191.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Diabetes1.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Breast cancer1.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 19Lung cancer0.99%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  10. 20Colorectal cancer0.90%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.81%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease0.81%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  13. 23Pancreatic cancer0.50%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  14. 24Other accidents0.46%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  15. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.34%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  16. 26Bladder cancer0.27%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.19%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  19. 29Other mental health conditions0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  20. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  21. 31Stomach cancer0.10%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  22. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  23. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  24. 34Brain cancer0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  26. 36Road accidents0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Cervical cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Suicide0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old woman in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in the United States

Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 90–94 in the United States?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 20% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old woman in the United States, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old woman in the United States dies in the next year?
15% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 92% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old woman in the United States expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on the United States' current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old woman in the United States?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Bone density scan (osteoporosis); RSV vaccine; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official CDC mortality statistics for the United States (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.