Odainn

What are men aged 85–89 in Luxembourg most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old man in Luxembourg, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, dementia & Alzheimer's and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 38% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 12% (1 in 9); over 10 years it is 88%.

Next 12 months
12%
1 in 9
Next 10 years
88%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease19%
    17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's9.6%
    8.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.7%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.3%
    8.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.0%
  4. 04Stroke5.5%
    4.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu5.1%
    4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease4.9%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  7. 07Other causes4.6%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  8. 08Prostate cancer3.2%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  9. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.1%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  10. 10Other cancers3.1%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
Show the other 29 causes32% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease2.9%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  2. 12Parkinson's disease2.8%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  3. 13Kidney disease2.8%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.5%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 15Lung cancer2.5%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 16Other lung disease2.0%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  7. 17Other accidents1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  8. 18Colorectal cancer1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 19Falls1.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 20Diabetes1.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  12. 22COVID-191.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  13. 23Bladder cancer1.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.99%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  15. 25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.80%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.75%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  17. 27Kidney cancer0.63%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  18. 28Suicide0.46%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  19. 29Stomach cancer0.36%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  20. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.29%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  21. 31Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.26%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.22%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.19%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  24. 34Other mental health conditions0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 35Road accidents0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.14%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call SOS Détresse on 45 45 45 (11:00–23:00; Fri–Sat to 03:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in Luxembourg, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Luxembourg (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Luxembourg

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Luxembourg's national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 85–89 in Luxembourg?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 19% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old man in Luxembourg, followed by dementia & Alzheimer's and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old man in Luxembourg dies in the next year?
12% (1 in 9). Over the next 10 years it is 88% (about 9 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old man in Luxembourg expect to live?
On average, to about 92 — around 5 more years, based on Luxembourg's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old man in Luxembourg?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Luxembourg's national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Luxembourg (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.