Odainn

What are men aged 50–54 in Belarus most likely to die from?

For a 52-year-old man in Belarus, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, heart failure & other heart disease and stroke — together 40% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.2% (1 in 82); over 10 years it is 17%.

Next 12 months
1.2%
1 in 82
Next 10 years
17%
about 2 in 10
Life expectancy
73
about 21 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease24%
    4.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease8.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  3. 03Stroke7.8%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.9%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  5. 05Lung cancer5.9%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  6. 06Other accidents3.3%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 07Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.3%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 08Suicide3.2%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  9. 09Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.7%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 10Other cancers2.6%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 32 causes33% together
  1. 11Pneumonia & flu2.3%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  2. 12Colorectal cancer2.1%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 13Stomach cancer2.0%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 14Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  5. 15Other digestive disease2.0%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 16Accidental poisoning & overdose2.0%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  7. 17Falls2.0%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  8. 18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.6%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 19Oesophageal cancer1.5%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.5%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Liver cancer1.3%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  12. 22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  13. 23COPD & chronic lung disease1.2%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 24Road accidents1.2%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  15. 25Brain cancer1.1%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  16. 26Kidney cancer0.97%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  17. 27Prostate cancer0.93%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  18. 28Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.91%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  19. 29Alcohol use disorder0.91%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  20. 30Drowning0.82%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  21. 31Bladder cancer0.56%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  22. 32Kidney disease0.54%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  23. 33Other causes0.50%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  24. 34Homicide0.49%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  25. 35Other lung disease0.38%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  26. 36Diabetes0.33%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  27. 37Dementia & Alzheimer's0.30%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  28. 38Congenital conditions0.16%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Other mental health conditions0.12%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  30. 40Parkinson's disease0.07%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  31. 41Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like a 52-year-old man in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 52-year-old man in Belarus

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 50–54 in Belarus?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 24% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 52-year-old man in Belarus, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and stroke.
What is the chance that a 52-year-old man in Belarus dies in the next year?
1.2% (1 in 82). Over the next 10 years it is 17% (about 2 in 10).
How long can a 52-year-old man in Belarus expect to live?
On average, to about 73 — around 21 more years, based on Belarus's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 52-year-old man in Belarus?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Prostate cancer test (PSA); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Belstat mortality statistics for Belarus (2018) — how we calculate. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. Educational, not medical advice.