Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in the United Kingdom most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 6,337
Next 10 years
0.22%
1 in 465
Life expectancy
84
about 67 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide23%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose10%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)8.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 04Road accidents5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  5. 05Other cancers5.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 06Other causes4.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  7. 07Congenital conditions3.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  8. 08Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
Show the other 37 causes36% together
  1. 09Leukaemia & lymphoma3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  2. 10Other digestive disease2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  3. 11Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  4. 12High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  5. 13Other accidents2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  6. 14Brain cancer2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  7. 15Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  8. 16Diabetes1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 17Stroke1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 19Other lung disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  12. 20COPD & chronic lung disease1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  13. 21Breast cancer0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  14. 22Pregnancy & childbirth0.85%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  15. 23Falls0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  16. 24Other mental health conditions0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  17. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  18. 26COVID-190.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  19. 27Drowning0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  20. 28Colorectal cancer0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  21. 29Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  22. 30Homicide0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  23. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  24. 32Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  25. 33Kidney disease0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  26. 34Alcohol use disorder0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 35Kidney cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  28. 36Drug use disorder0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  29. 37Liver cancer0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  30. 38Lung cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  31. 39Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  32. 40Oesophageal cancer0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  33. 41Cervical cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  34. 42Complications around birth0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 43Pancreatic cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  36. 44Stomach cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  37. 45Bladder cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in the United Kingdom, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United Kingdom (2023–2024), ONS, NRS and NISRA. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in the United Kingdom

How long people like this live: life expectancy.