Odainn

What are women aged 85–89 in Spain most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old woman in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 38% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 7.4% (1 in 14); over 10 years it is 79%.

Next 12 months
7.4%
1 in 14
Next 10 years
79%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
94
about 7 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's15%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease8.9%
    7.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  4. 04Other causes8.0%
    6.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  5. 05Other lung disease7.0%
    5.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  6. 06Stroke6.5%
    5.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  7. 07Other digestive disease5.1%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  8. 08Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.9%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  9. 09Pneumonia & flu3.4%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  10. 10Diabetes3.2%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
Show the other 34 causes24% together
  1. 11Kidney disease3.0%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  2. 12Other cancers2.5%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  3. 13COVID-192.1%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  4. 14Colorectal cancer2.0%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 16COPD & chronic lung disease1.6%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 17Breast cancer1.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 18Other accidents1.3%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 19Parkinson's disease1.0%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  10. 20Falls0.95%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.94%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.93%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  13. 23Pancreatic cancer0.77%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  14. 24Lung cancer0.60%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  15. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.59%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  16. 26Stomach cancer0.51%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.37%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.36%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  19. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.20%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.19%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.14%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.10%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.10%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  24. 34Cervical cancer0.09%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Suicide0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Road accidents0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Spain

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 85–89 in Spain?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old woman in Spain, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old woman in Spain dies in the next year?
7.4% (1 in 14). Over the next 10 years it is 79% (about 8 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old woman in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 94 — around 7 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Spain?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.