Odainn

What are men aged 90–94 in Spain most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old man in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, dementia & Alzheimer's and other lung disease — together 31% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 18% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 94%.

Next 12 months
18%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
94%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease13%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's9.2%
    8.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
  3. 03Other lung disease8.4%
    7.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.5%
  4. 04Other causes7.1%
    6.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  5. 05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.0%
    6.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease6.6%
    6.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  7. 07Stroke5.3%
    5.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu4.7%
    4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  9. 09Other digestive disease4.7%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  10. 10COPD & chronic lung disease4.4%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
Show the other 33 causes30% together
  1. 11Kidney disease3.2%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  2. 12Prostate cancer3.2%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  3. 13Other cancers2.9%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 14COVID-192.9%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 15Diabetes2.7%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  6. 16Colorectal cancer2.3%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 17Other accidents1.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 19Bladder cancer1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 20Lung cancer1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  11. 21Parkinson's disease1.0%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  12. 22Falls1.0%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  13. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma0.98%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  14. 24Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.77%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  15. 25Pancreatic cancer0.47%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  16. 26Stomach cancer0.44%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.35%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  18. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.33%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.29%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  20. 30Suicide0.18%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  22. 32Oesophageal cancer0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  24. 34Brain cancer0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  27. 37Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  28. 38Road accidents0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Breast cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  31. 41Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old man in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old man in Spain

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 90–94 in Spain?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old man in Spain, followed by dementia & Alzheimer's and other lung disease.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old man in Spain dies in the next year?
18% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 94% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old man in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old man in Spain?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.