Odainn

What are women aged 75–79 in Norway most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old woman in Norway, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, COPD & chronic lung disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 29% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.3% (1 in 43); over 10 years it is 38%.

Next 12 months
2.3%
1 in 43
Next 10 years
38%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's15%
    5.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02COPD & chronic lung disease8.3%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease6.3%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  4. 04Stroke6.2%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  5. 05Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.6%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  7. 07Lung cancer4.7%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  8. 08Other cancers4.5%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  9. 09Other causes3.9%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  10. 10Colorectal cancer3.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
Show the other 34 causes37% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease3.3%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  2. 12COVID-193.0%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  3. 13Pneumonia & flu2.8%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  4. 14Breast cancer2.6%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.5%
    0.95% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  6. 16Pancreatic cancer2.3%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 17Falls2.2%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  8. 18Uterine & ovarian cancer2.0%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma1.8%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  10. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.8%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 21Diabetes1.6%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 22Kidney disease1.6%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  13. 23Parkinson's disease1.5%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  14. 24Other lung disease1.4%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  15. 25Other accidents1.3%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.70%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  17. 27Brain cancer0.62%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.60%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  19. 29Bladder cancer0.56%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  20. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.50%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.50%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  22. 32Other mental health conditions0.44%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.28%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  24. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.28%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 35Cervical cancer0.27%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.24%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  27. 37Suicide0.18%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 38Road accidents0.11%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.06%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Drowning0.04%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 43Homicide0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Mental Helse on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Norway, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Norway (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Norway

Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 75–79 in Norway?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old woman in Norway, followed by COPD & chronic lung disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old woman in Norway dies in the next year?
2.3% (1 in 43). Over the next 10 years it is 38% (about 4 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old woman in Norway expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 12 more years, based on Norway's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Norway?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Norway (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.