Odainn

What are women aged 40–44 in Lithuania most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old woman in Lithuania, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are liver disease, breast cancer and uterine & ovarian cancer — together 25% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.15% (1 in 687); over 10 years it is 2.2%.

Next 12 months
0.15%
1 in 687
Next 10 years
2.2%
1 in 45
Life expectancy
83
about 41 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's liver disease.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)13%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  2. 02Breast cancer6.4%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 03Uterine & ovarian cancer5.5%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  4. 04Other digestive disease5.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 05Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.1%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 37%
  6. 06Cervical cancer4.5%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  7. 07Stroke4.4%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  8. 08Accidental poisoning & overdose4.0%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  9. 09Other cancers3.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  10. 10Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.5%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
Show the other 31 causes45% together
  1. 11Heart failure & other heart disease3.2%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  2. 12Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.1%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  3. 13Suicide3.1%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  4. 14Colorectal cancer3.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.9%
  6. 16Brain cancer2.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  7. 17Lung cancer2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 18Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.3%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  9. 19Stomach cancer2.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  10. 20Other causes2.1%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 21Pneumonia & flu2.1%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 22Other accidents1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  13. 23Falls1.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  14. 24Diabetes1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  15. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  16. 26Pancreatic cancer1.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  17. 27Homicide1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  18. 28Road accidents0.96%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  19. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.73%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  20. 30Leukaemia & lymphoma0.73%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.70%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  22. 32Kidney disease0.64%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  23. 33COPD & chronic lung disease0.62%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.56%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.47%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  26. 36Other lung disease0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  27. 37Congenital conditions0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  28. 38Drowning0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Kidney cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  30. 40COVID-190.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  31. 41Bladder cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old woman in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Lithuania

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 40–44 in Lithuania?
Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related): 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old woman in Lithuania, followed by breast cancer and uterine & ovarian cancer.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old woman in Lithuania dies in the next year?
0.15% (1 in 687). Over the next 10 years it is 2.2% (1 in 45).
How long can a 42-year-old woman in Lithuania expect to live?
On average, to about 83 — around 41 more years, based on Lithuania's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Lithuania?
Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Lithuania (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.