Odainn

What are men aged 65–69 in Lithuania most likely to die from?

For a 67-year-old man in Lithuania, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, stroke and lung cancer — together 46% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.9% (1 in 34); over 10 years it is 35%.

Next 12 months
2.9%
1 in 34
Next 10 years
35%
about 3 in 10
Life expectancy
81
about 14 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease29%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 35%
  2. 02Stroke10%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Lung cancer7.0%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.8%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  5. 05Prostate cancer3.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 06Other cancers3.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  7. 07Other digestive disease3.0%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  8. 08Colorectal cancer2.9%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  9. 09Stomach cancer2.3%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 10Heart failure & other heart disease2.3%
    0.80% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 32 causes31% together
  1. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.2%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 12COPD & chronic lung disease1.9%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  3. 13Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.8%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  4. 14Other accidents1.7%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  5. 15Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 16Diabetes1.6%
    0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer1.6%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 18Bladder cancer1.5%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 19Pneumonia & flu1.5%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  10. 20Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.5%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  11. 21COVID-191.4%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  12. 22Suicide1.3%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  13. 23Oesophageal cancer1.3%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  14. 24Kidney cancer1.2%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  15. 25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.1%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.99%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  17. 27Falls0.94%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  18. 28Dementia & Alzheimer's0.91%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  19. 29Other causes0.90%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  20. 30Parkinson's disease0.54%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.53%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.52%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.52%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  24. 34Kidney disease0.36%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  25. 35Other lung disease0.36%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  26. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.24%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  27. 37Road accidents0.24%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  28. 38Drowning0.23%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  29. 39Homicide0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Alcohol use disorder0.06%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Other mental health conditions0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Breast cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 67-year-old man in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 67-year-old man in Lithuania

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 65–69 in Lithuania?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 29% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 67-year-old man in Lithuania, followed by stroke and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 67-year-old man in Lithuania dies in the next year?
2.9% (1 in 34). Over the next 10 years it is 35% (about 3 in 10).
How long can a 67-year-old man in Lithuania expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 14 more years, based on Lithuania's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 67-year-old man in Lithuania?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Prostate cancer test (PSA); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Lithuania (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.