Odainn

What are women aged 70–74 in Italy most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old woman in Italy, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are stroke, high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and other cancers — together 21% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.2% (1 in 86); over 10 years it is 20%.

Next 12 months
1.2%
1 in 86
Next 10 years
20%
about 2 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 16 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Stroke7.9%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.8%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.7%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 03Other cancers6.0%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.9%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.9%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease5.7%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  6. 06Dementia & Alzheimer's5.6%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  7. 07Lung cancer5.5%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 08Breast cancer4.6%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  9. 09Other causes4.1%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  10. 10Diabetes3.9%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
Show the other 36 causes44% together
  1. 11Colorectal cancer3.5%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 12Pancreatic cancer3.5%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 13Other digestive disease3.5%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  4. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.2%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 15Leukaemia & lymphoma3.2%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16COPD & chronic lung disease3.2%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  7. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer2.6%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.4%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 19COVID-192.2%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  10. 20Other lung disease2.1%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  11. 21Pneumonia & flu1.7%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease1.6%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  13. 23Other accidents1.5%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  14. 24Stomach cancer1.4%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  15. 25Kidney disease1.3%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  16. 26Liver cancer1.3%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  17. 27Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.82%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  18. 28Brain cancer0.81%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  19. 29Falls0.67%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  20. 30Bladder cancer0.54%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.52%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.47%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  23. 33Other mental health conditions0.38%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.36%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.23%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 36Road accidents0.20%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  27. 37Suicide0.18%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  28. 38Cervical cancer0.18%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  29. 39Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.15%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.12%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Homicide0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Drowning0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Alcohol use disorder0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 72-year-old woman in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Italy

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 70–74 in Italy?
Stroke: 7.9% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old woman in Italy, followed by high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and other cancers.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old woman in Italy dies in the next year?
1.2% (1 in 86). Over the next 10 years it is 20% (about 2 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old woman in Italy expect to live?
On average, to about 88 — around 16 more years, based on Italy's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Italy?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Italy (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.