Odainn

What are men aged 55–59 in Ireland most likely to die from?

For a 57-year-old man in Ireland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, lung cancer and colorectal cancer — together 32% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.46% (1 in 217); over 10 years it is 7.2%.

Next 12 months
0.46%
1 in 217
Next 10 years
7.2%
1 in 14
Life expectancy
83
about 26 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease18%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  2. 02Lung cancer9.4%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  3. 03Colorectal cancer5.3%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  4. 04Other cancers5.1%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  5. 05COPD & chronic lung disease3.7%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease3.6%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.2%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  8. 08Stroke3.1%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  9. 09Pancreatic cancer3.0%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 10Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.8%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
Show the other 33 causes43% together
  1. 11Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.8%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  2. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma2.8%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  3. 13Other digestive disease2.7%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 14Suicide2.5%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  5. 15Oesophageal cancer2.5%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  6. 16Other lung disease2.3%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  7. 17Other causes2.3%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  8. 18Brain cancer2.2%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  9. 19Diabetes2.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  10. 20Liver cancer2.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  11. 21Prostate cancer2.0%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  12. 22Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.9%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  13. 23Stomach cancer1.6%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  14. 24Kidney cancer1.5%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  15. 25Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  16. 26Accidental poisoning & overdose1.2%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  17. 27Falls1.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  18. 28COVID-191.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  19. 29Other accidents0.94%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  20. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.85%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  21. 31Dementia & Alzheimer's0.82%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  22. 32Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.79%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  23. 33Congenital conditions0.79%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  24. 34Bladder cancer0.62%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  25. 35Drowning0.44%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  26. 36Parkinson's disease0.40%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  27. 37Road accidents0.36%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 38Kidney disease0.30%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.29%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 40Other mental health conditions0.28%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  31. 41Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.19%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  32. 42Breast cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 43Drug use disorder0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 57-year-old man in Ireland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Ireland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 57-year-old man in Ireland

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the HSE National Screening Service and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 55–59 in Ireland?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 18% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 57-year-old man in Ireland, followed by lung cancer and colorectal cancer.
What is the chance that a 57-year-old man in Ireland dies in the next year?
0.46% (1 in 217). Over the next 10 years it is 7.2% (1 in 14).
How long can a 57-year-old man in Ireland expect to live?
On average, to about 83 — around 26 more years, based on Ireland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 57-year-old man in Ireland?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the HSE National Screening Service and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Ireland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.