Odainn

What are men aged 70–74 in Hungary most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old man in Hungary, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and stroke — together 42% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 4.6% (1 in 22); over 10 years it is 49%.

Next 12 months
4.6%
1 in 22
Next 10 years
49%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
83
about 11 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease24%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 27%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease10%
    5.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Stroke8.1%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  4. 04Lung cancer7.4%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  5. 05Colorectal cancer5.1%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease4.9%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease4.5%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  8. 08Prostate cancer3.3%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  9. 09Dementia & Alzheimer's2.6%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  10. 10Other cancers2.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
Show the other 34 causes28% together
  1. 11Diabetes2.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 12Other digestive disease2.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  3. 13COVID-192.0%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  4. 14Pancreatic cancer1.7%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  5. 15Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.6%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  6. 16Other causes1.4%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 17Bladder cancer1.4%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.4%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 19Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 20Stomach cancer1.3%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  11. 21Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.2%
    0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  12. 22Falls1.1%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  13. 23Suicide0.99%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  14. 24Liver cancer0.84%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  15. 25Kidney cancer0.80%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  16. 26Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.73%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  17. 27Parkinson's disease0.66%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  18. 28Other lung disease0.65%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  19. 29Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.60%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  20. 30Other accidents0.51%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.45%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.40%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  23. 33Oesophageal cancer0.40%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  24. 34Kidney disease0.36%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  25. 35Alcohol use disorder0.30%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  26. 36Road accidents0.27%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  27. 37Other mental health conditions0.15%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  28. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  29. 39Breast cancer0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Drowning0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 43Homicide0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 72-year-old man in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old man in Hungary

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 70–74 in Hungary?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 24% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old man in Hungary, followed by high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and stroke.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old man in Hungary dies in the next year?
4.6% (1 in 22). Over the next 10 years it is 49% (about 5 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old man in Hungary expect to live?
On average, to about 83 — around 11 more years, based on Hungary's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old man in Hungary?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Hungary (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.