Odainn

What are women aged 45–49 in Germany most likely to die from?

For a 47-year-old woman in Germany, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are breast cancer, lung cancer and other cancers — together 27% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.13% (1 in 750); over 10 years it is 2.2%.

Next 12 months
0.13%
1 in 750
Next 10 years
2.2%
1 in 45
Life expectancy
84
about 37 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer12%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 02Lung cancer8.6%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  3. 03Other cancers5.7%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  4. 04Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)5.1%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  5. 05Uterine & ovarian cancer4.5%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.4%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer4.1%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.9%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.7%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  10. 10Stroke3.5%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
Show the other 36 causes44% together
  1. 11Other causes3.5%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  2. 12Suicide3.3%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  3. 13Pancreatic cancer3.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  4. 14COPD & chronic lung disease2.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  5. 15Other digestive disease2.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  6. 16Heart failure & other heart disease2.6%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  7. 17Brain cancer2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  8. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 19Cervical cancer1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  10. 20Stomach cancer1.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 22Diabetes1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  13. 23Alcohol use disorder1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  14. 24Liver cancer1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  15. 25Other mental health conditions1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  16. 26Pneumonia & flu1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  17. 27COVID-190.95%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  18. 28Falls0.90%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  19. 29Congenital conditions0.85%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  20. 30Other lung disease0.83%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.81%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  22. 32Other accidents0.73%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  23. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.72%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  24. 34Road accidents0.70%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.67%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  26. 36Kidney disease0.63%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.63%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  28. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.50%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Kidney cancer0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  30. 40Bladder cancer0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  31. 41Drug use disorder0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.7%
  33. 43Homicide0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 44Drowning0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  35. 45Complications around birth0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Parkinson's disease0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old woman in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Germany

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Suicide, overdoses and alcohol are among the most preventable causes of death. If you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time. Or find help at findahelpline.com.

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 45–49 in Germany?
Breast cancer: 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old woman in Germany, followed by lung cancer and other cancers.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old woman in Germany dies in the next year?
0.13% (1 in 750). Over the next 10 years it is 2.2% (1 in 45).
How long can a 47-year-old woman in Germany expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 37 more years, based on Germany's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Germany?
Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Skin cancer check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Germany (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.