Odainn

What are men aged 20–24 in France most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in France, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and other accidents — together 49% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.06% (1 in 1,648); over 10 years it is 0.69%.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,648
Next 10 years
0.69%
1 in 145
Life expectancy
81
about 59 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide23%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 02Road accidents15%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  3. 03Other accidents10%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  5. 05Homicide4.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  7. 07Other cancers3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  8. 08Accidental poisoning & overdose2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  9. 09Drowning2.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  10. 10Heart failure & other heart disease2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
Show the other 32 causes24% together
  1. 11Other causes2.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  2. 12Congenital conditions1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  3. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  4. 14Other digestive disease1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  5. 15Brain cancer1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  6. 16Falls1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  7. 17Stroke1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  8. 18Drug use disorder1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  9. 19Alcohol use disorder1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  10. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  11. 21Other mental health conditions0.97%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  12. 22High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  13. 23Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  14. 24Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  15. 25Other lung disease0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  16. 26Pneumonia & flu0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  18. 28Diabetes0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  19. 29COPD & chronic lung disease0.48%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  20. 30Lung cancer0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  22. 32Colorectal cancer0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  23. 33Stomach cancer0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  24. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  25. 35COVID-190.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  26. 36Kidney cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  27. 37Pancreatic cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  28. 38Kidney disease0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  29. 39Oesophageal cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  30. 40Complications around birth0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Prostate cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  32. 42Parkinson's disease0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 3114, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in France, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for France (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in France

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in France?
Suicide: 23% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in France, followed by road accidents and other accidents.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in France dies in the next year?
0.06% (1 in 1,648). Over the next 10 years it is 0.69% (1 in 145).
How long can a 22-year-old man in France expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 59 more years, based on France's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in France?
Blood pressure check. Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for France (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.