Odainn

What are women aged 75–79 in Estonia most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old woman in Estonia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are high blood pressure & other circulatory disease, heart attack & coronary heart disease and stroke — together 53% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.8% (1 in 36); over 10 years it is 42%.

Next 12 months
2.8%
1 in 36
Next 10 years
42%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01High blood pressure & other circulatory disease28%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 33%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease16%
    6.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  3. 03Stroke8.0%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease7.3%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.5%
  5. 05Other cancers3.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer3.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 07Diabetes2.6%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Breast cancer2.4%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 09Other causes2.2%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 10Dementia & Alzheimer's2.2%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
Show the other 34 causes24% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease2.2%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 12Pneumonia & flu2.0%
    0.86% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  3. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  4. 14Lung cancer1.9%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 15Pancreatic cancer1.8%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 16Stomach cancer1.5%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  7. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer1.4%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  8. 18COPD & chronic lung disease1.2%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  9. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.95%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  10. 20Kidney disease0.91%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  11. 21Parkinson's disease0.90%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  12. 22Falls0.78%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  13. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.75%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  14. 24Kidney cancer0.68%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  15. 25COVID-190.63%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.45%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  17. 27Brain cancer0.44%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  18. 28Other accidents0.41%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  19. 29Bladder cancer0.37%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  20. 30Cervical cancer0.31%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  21. 31Suicide0.30%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.27%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  23. 33Other lung disease0.27%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  24. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.25%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  25. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.20%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  26. 36Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.18%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  27. 37Other mental health conditions0.16%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 38Road accidents0.12%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  29. 39Oesophageal cancer0.10%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Drowning0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 43Homicide0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  34. 44Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Estonia

Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 75–79 in Estonia?
High blood pressure & other circulatory disease: 28% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old woman in Estonia, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and stroke.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old woman in Estonia dies in the next year?
2.8% (1 in 36). Over the next 10 years it is 42% (about 4 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old woman in Estonia expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 12 more years, based on Estonia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Estonia?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.