Odainn

What are men aged 70–74 in Croatia most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old man in Croatia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and diabetes — together 30% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 3.7% (1 in 27); over 10 years it is 43%.

Next 12 months
3.7%
1 in 27
Next 10 years
43%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
84
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease11%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease11%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 03Diabetes8.5%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  4. 04Lung cancer8.0%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  5. 05Stroke6.6%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease5.7%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer5.3%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  8. 08COPD & chronic lung disease4.4%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  9. 09Prostate cancer4.1%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  10. 10Other cancers2.9%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
Show the other 33 causes33% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease2.2%
    0.95% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 12Dementia & Alzheimer's2.1%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  3. 13COVID-191.9%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  4. 14Kidney disease1.9%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 15Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.8%
    0.80% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.8%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 17Bladder cancer1.6%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 18Liver cancer1.6%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 19Falls1.6%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  10. 20Stomach cancer1.6%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Pancreatic cancer1.6%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease1.5%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  13. 23Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.5%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  14. 24Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  15. 25Other causes1.1%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  16. 26Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.91%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  17. 27Kidney cancer0.88%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  18. 28Suicide0.82%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  19. 29Brain cancer0.66%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  20. 30Alcohol use disorder0.60%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.60%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  22. 32Other mental health conditions0.57%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  23. 33Road accidents0.47%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  24. 34Other accidents0.46%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.44%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  26. 36Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.41%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  27. 37Other lung disease0.35%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  28. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.26%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  29. 39Drowning0.11%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Breast cancer0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Congenital conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 72-year-old man in Croatia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Croatia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old man in Croatia

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Croatian national (HZJZ) screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 70–74 in Croatia?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 11% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old man in Croatia, followed by high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and diabetes.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old man in Croatia dies in the next year?
3.7% (1 in 27). Over the next 10 years it is 43% (about 4 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old man in Croatia expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 12 more years, based on Croatia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old man in Croatia?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Croatian national (HZJZ) screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Croatia (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.