Odainn

What are women aged 75–79 in Canada most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old woman in Canada, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer — together 29% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.3% (1 in 43); over 10 years it is 35%.

Next 12 months
2.3%
1 in 43
Next 10 years
35%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
90
about 13 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's14%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.1%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.8%
  3. 03Lung cancer6.4%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease6.1%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  5. 05Stroke5.5%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease5.2%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  7. 07Other cancers4.3%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  8. 08Other digestive disease4.0%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  9. 09Other causes3.8%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  10. 10High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.8%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
Show the other 36 causes38% together
  1. 11Falls3.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  2. 12Breast cancer3.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer2.7%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma2.6%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15Other lung disease2.3%
    0.80% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 16Pneumonia & flu2.2%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  7. 17Diabetes2.1%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 18Uterine & ovarian cancer2.1%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 19COVID-192.1%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  10. 20Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.9%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  13. 23Kidney disease1.8%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  14. 24Parkinson's disease1.5%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 25Liver cancer0.94%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  16. 26Other accidents0.82%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  17. 27Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.67%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  18. 28Bladder cancer0.52%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  19. 29Brain cancer0.48%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.43%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  21. 31Stomach cancer0.41%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.36%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  23. 33Oesophageal cancer0.36%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.30%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.20%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  26. 36Road accidents0.16%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  27. 37Cervical cancer0.13%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.11%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  29. 39Suicide0.09%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Alcohol use disorder0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Congenital conditions0.07%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 43Drowning0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Homicide0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Canada

Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 75–79 in Canada?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 14% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old woman in Canada, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old woman in Canada dies in the next year?
2.3% (1 in 43). Over the next 10 years it is 35% (about 4 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old woman in Canada expect to live?
On average, to about 90 — around 13 more years, based on Canada's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Canada?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); RSV vaccine; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Statistics Canada mortality statistics for Canada (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.