Odainn

What are women aged 80–84 in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old woman in Bulgaria, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are stroke, heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 67% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 6.9% (1 in 14); over 10 years it is 75%.

Next 12 months
6.9%
1 in 14
Next 10 years
75%
about 7 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 7 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Stroke27%
    20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 27%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease26%
    19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 27%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease15%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease14%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  5. 05Other digestive disease2.1%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu1.8%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 07Kidney disease1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 08Diabetes1.4%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 09Colorectal cancer1.4%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 10Other lung disease1.3%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
Show the other 33 causes9.1% together
  1. 11Breast cancer1.1%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  2. 12COVID-190.95%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  3. 13Other cancers0.94%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  4. 14COPD & chronic lung disease0.80%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  5. 15Uterine & ovarian cancer0.64%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  6. 16Pancreatic cancer0.48%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  7. 17Lung cancer0.46%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  8. 18Stomach cancer0.43%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  9. 19Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.34%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  10. 20Falls0.34%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  11. 21Liver cancer0.30%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  12. 22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.27%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  13. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma0.26%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  14. 24Other causes0.18%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  15. 25Bladder cancer0.18%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  16. 26Parkinson's disease0.17%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  17. 27Cervical cancer0.15%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  18. 28Brain cancer0.15%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  19. 29Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.15%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  20. 30Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.13%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.13%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  22. 32Dementia & Alzheimer's0.13%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  23. 33Other accidents0.10%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.08%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  25. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  26. 36Suicide0.06%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  27. 37Road accidents0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Oesophageal cancer0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Other mental health conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Congenital conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like an 82-year-old woman in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age
What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Bulgaria

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 80–84 in Bulgaria?
Stroke: 27% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old woman in Bulgaria, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old woman in Bulgaria dies in the next year?
6.9% (1 in 14). Over the next 10 years it is 75% (about 7 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old woman in Bulgaria expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 7 more years, based on Bulgaria's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Bulgaria?
Blood pressure check; Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Bulgaria (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.