Odainn

What are women aged 55–59 in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

For a 57-year-old woman in Bulgaria, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, stroke and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 38% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.59% (1 in 169); over 10 years it is 8.8%.

Next 12 months
0.59%
1 in 169
Next 10 years
8.8%
1 in 11
Life expectancy
82
about 25 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease17%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 24%
  2. 02Stroke11%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.5%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease8.3%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  5. 05Breast cancer5.6%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  6. 06Lung cancer5.2%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer3.8%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 08Other cancers3.7%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 09Uterine & ovarian cancer3.5%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 10Other digestive disease3.2%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
Show the other 33 causes29% together
  1. 11Pancreatic cancer2.6%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  2. 12Pneumonia & flu2.4%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  3. 13Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.3%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  4. 14Kidney disease2.1%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 15Cervical cancer1.9%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  6. 16Diabetes1.9%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 17Other lung disease1.7%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  9. 19COPD & chronic lung disease1.5%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  10. 20Brain cancer1.4%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  11. 21Stomach cancer1.3%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  12. 22Liver cancer1.2%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  13. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.94%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  14. 24Kidney cancer0.84%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  15. 25COVID-190.79%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  16. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.72%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.52%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  18. 28Other causes0.50%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  19. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.50%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  20. 30Suicide0.46%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  21. 31Road accidents0.32%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  22. 32Other accidents0.28%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.28%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.26%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  25. 35Falls0.23%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.16%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 37Parkinson's disease0.13%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  28. 38Homicide0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  29. 39Other mental health conditions0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  33. 43Drowning0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 57-year-old woman in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 57-year-old woman in Bulgaria

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 55–59 in Bulgaria?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 57-year-old woman in Bulgaria, followed by stroke and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that a 57-year-old woman in Bulgaria dies in the next year?
0.59% (1 in 169). Over the next 10 years it is 8.8% (1 in 11).
How long can a 57-year-old woman in Bulgaria expect to live?
On average, to about 82 — around 25 more years, based on Bulgaria's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 57-year-old woman in Bulgaria?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Bulgaria (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.