Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Belarus most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Belarus, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are other neurological disease, road accidents and suicide — together 31% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 5,231); over 10 years it is 0.25%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,231
Next 10 years
0.25%
1 in 406
Life expectancy
80
about 63 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 02Road accidents11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  3. 03Suicide9.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  4. 04Accidental poisoning & overdose6.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  5. 05Homicide6.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease5.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  7. 07Congenital conditions4.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma4.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 09Falls4.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  10. 10Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
Show the other 22 causes35% together
  1. 11Brain cancer3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  2. 12Other causes3.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  3. 13Kidney disease2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  4. 14Other accidents2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  5. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  6. 16Cervical cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  7. 17Other digestive disease2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  8. 18Pneumonia & flu2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  9. 19Stomach cancer2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  10. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  11. 21Drowning1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  12. 22Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  13. 23Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  14. 24Colorectal cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  15. 25Diabetes1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  17. 27Other cancers0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  18. 28Stroke0.64%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.61%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  20. 30Other mental health conditions0.60%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  21. 31Other lung disease0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.43%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Belarus?
Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy): 11% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Belarus, followed by road accidents and suicide.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Belarus dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 5,231). Over the next 10 years it is 0.25% (1 in 406).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Belarus expect to live?
On average, to about 80 — around 63 more years, based on Belarus's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Belstat mortality statistics for Belarus (2018) — how we calculate. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. Educational, not medical advice.