Odainn

What are men aged 30–34 in Belarus most likely to die from?

For a 32-year-old man in Belarus, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, accidental poisoning & overdose and suicide — together 39% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.22% (1 in 462); over 10 years it is 3.4%.

Next 12 months
0.22%
1 in 462
Next 10 years
3.4%
1 in 30
Life expectancy
70
about 38 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease16%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose13%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 03Suicide10%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease6.8%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 30%
  5. 05Other accidents5.0%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 06Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)4.5%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 07Road accidents4.5%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  8. 08Falls3.9%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 09Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.6%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  10. 10Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.1%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
Show the other 29 causes30% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease3.0%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  2. 12Stroke3.0%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  3. 13Drowning2.8%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  4. 14Pneumonia & flu2.8%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  6. 16Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 17Other cancers1.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 18Homicide1.6%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  9. 19Brain cancer1.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  10. 20Stomach cancer1.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 21Alcohol use disorder0.92%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  12. 22Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.82%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  13. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma0.79%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 24Kidney disease0.76%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  15. 25Colorectal cancer0.72%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  16. 26Congenital conditions0.63%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  17. 27Lung cancer0.56%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  18. 28Other lung disease0.52%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  19. 29Other causes0.50%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  20. 30Oesophageal cancer0.38%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  21. 31Pancreatic cancer0.37%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  22. 32Diabetes0.30%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  23. 33Liver cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  24. 34Drug use disorder0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  25. 35Kidney cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  26. 36Other mental health conditions0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  27. 37Breast cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  28. 38Bladder cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  29. 39COPD & chronic lung disease0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like a 32-year-old man in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 32-year-old man in Belarus

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 30–34 in Belarus?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 16% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 32-year-old man in Belarus, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and suicide.
What is the chance that a 32-year-old man in Belarus dies in the next year?
0.22% (1 in 462). Over the next 10 years it is 3.4% (1 in 30).
How long can a 32-year-old man in Belarus expect to live?
On average, to about 70 — around 38 more years, based on Belarus's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 32-year-old man in Belarus?
Blood pressure check. Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Belstat mortality statistics for Belarus (2018) — how we calculate. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. Educational, not medical advice.