Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old man in Cyprus most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

11%

1 in 9

Next 10 years

85%

about 8 in 10

Life expectancy

about 6 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Other lung disease10%
8.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
02Heart failure & other heart disease10%
8.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
03Heart attack & coronary heart disease8.7%
7.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.5%
04Dementia & Alzheimer's7.3%
6.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
05Other causes7.1%
6.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.4%
5.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
07Stroke5.9%
5.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
08Diabetes5.3%
4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%

Show the other 30 causes39% together

09Kidney disease4.0%
3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
10Prostate cancer3.6%
3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.5%
3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
12COPD & chronic lung disease3.5%
3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
13Other digestive disease2.8%
2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
14COVID-192.8%
2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
15Other cancers2.7%
2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
16Other accidents2.4%
2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
17Pneumonia & flu2.4%
2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
18Colorectal cancer1.8%
1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
19Lung cancer1.5%
1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.4%
1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
21Falls1.1%
0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
22Bladder cancer1.0%
0.89% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
23Parkinson's disease0.82%
0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
24Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.68%
0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
25Pancreatic cancer0.58%
0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
26Stomach cancer0.41%
0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
27Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.25%
0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
28Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.23%
0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.22%
0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
30Liver cancer0.19%
0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.18%
0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
32Kidney cancer0.17%
0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
33Brain cancer0.14%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
34Road accidents0.10%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
35Breast cancer0.08%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
36Congenital conditions0.08%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
37Other mental health conditions0.06%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
38Drowning0.02%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

For people like an 87-year-old man in Cyprus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Cyprus (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: men aged 85–89 in Cyprus

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Cyprus

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Flu vaccine
every autumn — from 60 or 65, depending on your country
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40 (men) / 50 (women), then as your doctor advises
Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal)
from 60 or 65, depending on your country — ask your doctor
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If you smoke or used to:

Aortic aneurysm scan (ultrasound)
once, men 65+ who have ever smoked · ask your doctor

Based on the Cyprus Ministry of Health's screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.