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What is an 82-year-old woman in Moldova most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
82
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
9.7%
1 in 10
Next 10 years
90%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 6 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease55%
    49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 55%
  2. 02Stroke20%
    18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease12%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  4. 04Other digestive disease1.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer1.1%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  7. 07Breast cancer1.0%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 08COPD & chronic lung disease0.93%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
Show the other 32 causes7.3% together
  1. 09Heart failure & other heart disease0.88%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  2. 10Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.68%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  3. 11Diabetes0.66%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  4. 12Other cancers0.63%
    0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  5. 13COVID-190.54%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  6. 14Kidney disease0.54%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  7. 15Liver cancer0.39%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  8. 16Lung cancer0.38%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  9. 17Other accidents0.26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  10. 18Uterine & ovarian cancer0.23%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  11. 19Stomach cancer0.23%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  12. 20Pancreatic cancer0.20%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  13. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.19%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  14. 22Accidental poisoning & overdose0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  15. 23Cervical cancer0.16%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  16. 24Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  17. 25Leukaemia & lymphoma0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  18. 26Dementia & Alzheimer's0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  19. 27Bladder cancer0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  20. 28Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  21. 29Kidney cancer0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  22. 30Other causes0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  23. 31Brain cancer0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  24. 32Suicide0.06%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  25. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  26. 34Other lung disease0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  27. 35Oesophageal cancer0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 36Road accidents0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 37Parkinson's disease0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 38Melanoma (skin cancer)0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 39Falls0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 40Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like an 82-year-old woman in Moldova, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Moldova (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: women aged 80–84 in Moldova

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Moldova

Based on Moldova's national cervical screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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