Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old woman in Ireland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
2.4%
1 in 42
Next 10 years
39%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's11%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.6%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease7.5%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04COPD & chronic lung disease7.0%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  5. 05Stroke5.7%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  6. 06Lung cancer5.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.8%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  8. 08Other causes4.2%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
Show the other 35 causes45% together
  1. 09Other cancers3.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  2. 10Other lung disease3.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  3. 11Breast cancer3.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 12Other digestive disease3.3%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  5. 13Pneumonia & flu3.0%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 14COVID-192.6%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 15Diabetes2.4%
    0.95% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 16Uterine & ovarian cancer2.3%
    0.90% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 17Colorectal cancer2.3%
    0.90% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  10. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma2.2%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 19Parkinson's disease2.2%
    0.86% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  12. 20Pancreatic cancer1.8%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.2%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 23Kidney disease1.1%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 24Oesophageal cancer1.0%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  17. 25Other accidents1.0%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.90%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  19. 27Falls0.89%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.72%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  21. 29Kidney cancer0.53%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  22. 30Bladder cancer0.51%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  23. 31Brain cancer0.46%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  24. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.34%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  25. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.27%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  26. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.26%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  27. 35Cervical cancer0.23%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  28. 36Other mental health conditions0.20%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  29. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.11%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 38Road accidents0.11%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  31. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 40Congenital conditions0.04%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 41Suicide0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 42Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  35. 43Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Ireland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Ireland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 75–79 in Ireland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Ireland

Based on the HSE National Screening Service and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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