Free risk check · real data

What is a 62-year-old woman in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

0.91%

1 in 110

Next 10 years

13%

1 in 8

Life expectancy

about 21 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Heart failure & other heart disease18%
2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
02Stroke14%
1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 24%
03Heart attack & coronary heart disease10%
1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease9.2%
1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
05Breast cancer4.5%
0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
06Lung cancer4.3%
0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
07Colorectal cancer3.9%
0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
08Other cancers3.3%
0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%

Show the other 35 causes32% together

09Other digestive disease3.1%
0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
10Uterine & ovarian cancer2.8%
0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
11Kidney disease2.4%
0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
12Pneumonia & flu2.3%
0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
13Pancreatic cancer2.2%
0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
14Diabetes2.1%
0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
15Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.6%
0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
16Other lung disease1.6%
0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
17COPD & chronic lung disease1.3%
0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
19Cervical cancer1.2%
0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
20Stomach cancer1.2%
0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
21Brain cancer1.1%
0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
22Liver cancer1.0%
0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.89%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
24COVID-190.85%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.72%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
26Bladder cancer0.57%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
27Kidney cancer0.56%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.47%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
29Other causes0.42%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
30Suicide0.29%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
31Road accidents0.29%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
32Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.26%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
33Falls0.24%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
34Other accidents0.18%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
35Oesophageal cancer0.17%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.14%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
37Parkinson's disease0.11%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
38Dementia & Alzheimer's0.08%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
39Drowning0.07%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
40Other mental health conditions0.05%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
41Homicide0.04%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
42Accidental poisoning & overdose0.03%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
43Congenital conditions0.02%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 62-year-old woman in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 60–64 in Bulgaria

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 62-year-old woman in Bulgaria

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Bowel cancer screening (stool test)
not in the general check-up — a stool test every 2 years is covered if you're at higher risk (e.g. family history); ask your GP
Breast cancer screening (mammogram)
mammogram every 2 years at 45–69, every 3 years from 70 — in your free yearly preventive check-up (NZOK)
Flu vaccine
every autumn — from 60 or 65, depending on your country
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
every 5 years, men from 40 and women from 50, with a heart-risk score — in your free yearly preventive check-up (NZOK)
Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal)
from 60 or 65, depending on your country — ask your doctor
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If you smoke or used to:

Lung cancer screening (low-dose CT)
if you smoke or smoked heavily, ages 50–74 — ask whether it's offered

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Bowel cancer in the family — earlier bowel check
often a colonoscopy every 5 years from 40 (or 10 years before your relative's age at diagnosis, if earlier) · ask your doctor
Breast or ovarian cancer in the family — risk check and genetic counselling
ask your doctor once — you may be offered earlier mammograms (often yearly from 40) or a gene test

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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