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Free risk check · real data

What is a 42-year-old man in Finland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
42
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.16%
1 in 624
Next 10 years
2.4%
1 in 42
Life expectancy
80
about 38 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide11%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  2. 02Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)9.9%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.1%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease7.4%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose7.0%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.0%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  7. 07Other digestive disease4.0%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Other cancers3.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
Show the other 35 causes42% together
  1. 09Stroke3.1%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  2. 10Lung cancer2.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  3. 11Colorectal cancer2.6%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  4. 12Brain cancer2.6%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  5. 13Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.5%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 14Diabetes2.4%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 15Other accidents2.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  8. 16Road accidents2.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  9. 17Falls1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  10. 18Pancreatic cancer1.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  11. 19Other causes1.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  12. 20Liver cancer1.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 21Drug use disorder1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  14. 22Leukaemia & lymphoma1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  15. 23Congenital conditions1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  16. 24Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  17. 25Oesophageal cancer1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  18. 26Alcohol use disorder0.98%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  19. 27COVID-190.97%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  20. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.93%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  21. 29Stomach cancer0.82%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  22. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.75%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  23. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.73%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  24. 32Drowning0.71%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.71%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  26. 34Kidney disease0.43%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  27. 35Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  28. 36Homicide0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 37Pneumonia & flu0.31%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  30. 38Prostate cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  31. 39Other lung disease0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  33. 41Other mental health conditions0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  34. 42Complications around birth0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 43Dementia & Alzheimer's0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the MIELI crisis line on 09 2525 0111 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old man in Finland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Finland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 40–44 in Finland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old man in Finland

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Finnish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.