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What are men aged 15–19 in Moldova most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Moldova, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, other injuries and suicide — together 48% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.06% (1 in 1,667); over 10 years it is 1.1%.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,667
Next 10 years
1.1%
1 in 88
Life expectancy
68
about 51 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents25%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  2. 02Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)12%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 03Suicide10%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 04Other accidents9.2%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease6.4%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu5.1%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 09Brain cancer3.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  10. 10Other cancers2.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
Show the other 15 causes15% together
  1. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  2. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  3. 13Drowning1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  4. 14Other digestive disease1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  5. 15Falls1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  7. 17Kidney disease1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  8. 18Stroke0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  9. 19Other mental health conditions0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  10. 20Homicide0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  11. 21Diabetes0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  12. 22Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  13. 23Other causes0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  15. 25Liver cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Moldova, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Moldova (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Moldova?
Road accidents: 25% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Moldova, followed by other injuries and suicide.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Moldova dies in the next year?
0.06% (1 in 1,667). Over the next 10 years it is 1.1% (1 in 88).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Moldova expect to live?
On average, to about 68 — around 51 more years, based on Moldova's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Moldova (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.