Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Belgium most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,600
Next 10 years
0.20%
1 in 508
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide23%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  2. 02Road accidents14%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  5. 05Congenital conditions4.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  6. 06Other causes4.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  8. 08Other cancers4.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
Show the other 26 causes33% together
  1. 09Brain cancer3.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  2. 10Accidental poisoning & overdose3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  3. 11Other lung disease2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  4. 12Other mental health conditions2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  5. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  6. 14Other accidents2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 15Homicide1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  8. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  9. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  10. 18Stroke1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  11. 19Breast cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  12. 20Falls1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  13. 21Drowning1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  14. 22Lung cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  15. 23Colorectal cancer0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  16. 24Melanoma (skin cancer)0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  17. 25Drug use disorder0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  19. 27Uterine & ovarian cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  20. 28Pneumonia & flu0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  21. 29Bladder cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  22. 30COPD & chronic lung disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  23. 31Diabetes0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  24. 32Other digestive disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  25. 33Alcohol use disorder0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  26. 34COVID-190.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Belgium

How long people like this live: life expectancy.