Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Denmark most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Denmark, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and accidental poisoning & overdose — together 53% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 4,360); over 10 years it is 0.29%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 4,360
Next 10 years
0.29%
1 in 342
Life expectancy
80
about 63 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide24%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  2. 02Road accidents15%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose14%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)9.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  5. 05Other cancers6.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 06Other accidents4.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  7. 07Congenital conditions3.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  8. 08Homicide3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  9. 09Other causes2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  10. 10Pneumonia & flu2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
Show the other 19 causes15% together
  1. 11Diabetes2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  2. 12Drowning1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  3. 13Stroke1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  5. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  6. 16Falls0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 17Other mental health conditions0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  8. 18Colorectal cancer0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  9. 19Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  10. 20High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  11. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  12. 22Heart failure & other heart disease0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  13. 23Brain cancer0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  14. 24Melanoma (skin cancer)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  15. 25Other lung disease0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  16. 26Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  17. 27Other digestive disease0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  18. 28Kidney disease0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  19. 29COVID-190.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Livslinien on 70 201 201 (09:00–05:00, normal call rate) — confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Denmark, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Denmark (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Denmark?
Suicide: 24% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Denmark, followed by road accidents and accidental poisoning & overdose.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Denmark dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 4,360). Over the next 10 years it is 0.29% (1 in 342).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Denmark expect to live?
On average, to about 80 — around 63 more years, based on Denmark's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Denmark (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.