What is a 17-year-old girl in Latvia most likely to die from?
Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.
Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.
Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.
- 0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
- 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
- 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
- 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
- 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
- 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
- 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
- 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
Show the other 25 causesHide the other 25 causes41% together
- 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
- 10Other causes3.4%0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
- 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
- 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).
For people like a 17-year-old girl in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.
Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Latvia
How long people like this live: life expectancy.